Fellow ASA'ers:
To my great joy and surprise, someone has made a calculation of the
probability for the origin of life on earth by natural process.
http://www.biology-direct.com/content/2/1/15
Eugene Koonin has made a calculation of this, and published it!
His result is that the probability for this to happen on any one of the
~10^(21) earthlike planets in the Universe, during the life of the
universe, is (gasp):
Probability = 10^(-1018)
The OOL scenario that he bases his calculation on, is the RNA FIRST
scenario, probably the most popular scenario proposed.
He anticipates the outrage this will cause, amongst the many academics
whose worldview is Naturalism, so he hides behind the usual multi-universe
theory, in which any improbable process can happen any number of times.
(aren't we lucky to be in one of those fortunate universes?)
He prepares his hiding place in the early part of the paper, and saves the
bad news of the calculation for an appendix at the end. Fortunately I
guess he must have a secure job at the NIH (National Institute of Health).
He also pronounces the usual anathema against ID.
Lawrence Johnston
"Subtle is the Lord, but malicious He is not"
A. Einstein
==========================================================
Lawrence H. Johnston home: 917 E. 8th st.
professor of physics, emeritus Moscow, Id 83843
University of Idaho (208) 882-2765
Fellow of the American Physical Society
http://www.uidaho.edu/~johnston/HOMEPA~1.HTM =============
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Received on Sun Nov 11 18:35:38 2007
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.8 : Sun Nov 11 2007 - 18:35:38 EST