[asa] Re: global warming

Glenn:

I understand your argument against GW to be that you have looked at
the raw data and determined that at least some of it is bogus --
meaning poorly collected.

Your second argument concerns past histories of high CO2 content.

You also argue not to "follow the herd," for they may be wrong.

My question to you are these:

1. Do you think the IPCC scientists were unaware of the data
collection problems?

2. Do you think that a "quick" change in CO2 content (as we are now
experiencing) can fairly be compared to one extending over millenia?

3. On tectonics plate theory, the "herd" was wrong. OTOH, the "herd"
is more often right than wrong. We all depend on this every day. Let
me suggest that MAYBE you are right, the "herd" is wrong and Rush
Limbaugh is right. What are the odds? Let's say they are 50-50 (most
would say they are 1-99.

If Rush is right, then we will spend some $$ without return. If the
"herd" is right, and we follow Rush's advice, we may all die.

I use Rush Limbaugh only because I have heard him on this subject. Use
"Steve Forbes" instead, if you detest Rush as I do. Or Fred Singer,
who at least knows how to put a sentence together without a sigh.

Now I will tell you the single counter-GW argument I find credible,
since I assume the IPCC has done its work in a satisfactory manner
(please advise me if you know differently). The scientist Freeman
Dyson has also spoken against the GW idea. His rationale is that he
disbelieves that computer models can possibly encompass all the multi
variables that go into the analysis. There is a web site, easily
googled, in which he discusses this, if you are interested. Having
worked with computer models in forecasting the future, some of what he
says resonates with my experiences. Small tweaks at the front often
cause wild swings at the end. I hope Freeman is right. I don't want to
bet on him though.

cheers

Burgy

To unsubscribe, send a message to majordomo@calvin.edu with
"unsubscribe asa" (no quotes) as the body of the message.
Received on Mon Jun 9 17:08:24 2008