Re: National Geographic, June 2004

Glenn wrote: "I am convinced that things are about to get really really
bad."

You have certainly convinced me (with the addition of the two books
referenced below. This is part of what I now have on my web site -- what
do you (or others) think of my predictions?

THE COMING OIL CRISIS

Two books recently grabbed my attention:

THE PARTY'S OVER, by Richard Heinberg (2003)
OUT OF GAS, by David Goodstein (2004)

In a nutshell, here is the problem:

Global oil supplies are drying up.
Global oil demand continues to increase.
Higher prices and rationing are inevitable within a very few years.

My personal predictions:

Gasoline prices reach $4.00 a gallon in 2006.
Gasoline rationing is instituted in 2007.
The cost to heat your home in winter triples by 2008.

After that, things will get bad in a variety of ways.

I hope I am wrong. But there is nothing on the horizon to give me hope
otherwise.

For further study, see the website of my geophysicist friend, Glenn
Morton. A link to it is on my site at
                                                                         
                www.burgy.50megs.com/crisis.htm

Burgy
Received on Thu Nov 4 10:03:36 2004