RE: 4 sobering paragraphs on oil

From: Vandergraaf, Chuck (vandergraaft@aecl.ca)
Date: Thu Jan 25 2001 - 12:04:37 EST

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    Kenneth Piers writes, in response to Glenn Morton, "I am all with Glenn that
    we should pay the "real cost of the product". But there is a problem with
    this when those who supply the product have a monopoly on their services. In
    such cases what is charged to consumers and the real cost of the product may
    have little relationship to each other. Trusting the "free market" in such
    cases also has its problems. Since the public generally neither gets to see
    the utility's books nor the invoices that the utility receives from their
    suppliers, it seems that in these cases there is a genuinely positive role
    for an independent body to play in seeing to it that fair prices are charged
    to consumers - prices that include the "real price of the product" but do
    not involve gouging. In Michigan we are just about to bear the brunt of our
    actions in utility deregulation. When this was done about 15 months ago, the
    agreement was that utilities would fix the price they charged to consumers
    for at least two years (a foolish agreement in my opinion but...). Now the
    utilities have applied for early release from these commitment and want to
    raise the price of their product by 75 to 100% - reflecting, they say, the
    increased prices they have to pay their suppliers. None of which makes us
    consumers happy. For me it will merely mean somewhat less discretionary
    spending. But for low income people this will be a very severe jolt. We can
    be sure that energy prices will continue to rise in the future. My greatest
    immediate concern is for those who can ill-afford such increasing costs. My
    longer concern is that our entire economy could be imperiled."

    I think that there are certain activities that should fall outside the "free
    market." The utilities belong to this category and, I submit, should be
    state owned or at least state-controlled because they can be classified as
    "essential services." The task of the utilities should be something like
    "to provide sufficient energy for a society to function properly." Instead,
    with deregulation and privatization, the goal of these deregulated utilities
    has become one of "to make the shareholders rich." IMHO, these two goals
    are quite different. If society agrees that I don't have to live where I
    work but allows me the freedom to live at some distance from my place of
    work, society should see to it that I can get to work and that means that
    public transit should function or, if I choose to drive to work, that the
    traffic lights are working. The current situation in California is getting
    close to making that difficult, if not impossible. State-owned and
    -operated utilities may not be as efficient as privately run utilities, but
    that's a small cost to pay for the certainty that essential services are
    available. If I ever have to have open heart surgery, I prefer to have it in
    a hospital that is assured of a continuous supply of electricity.

    However, regardless of who runs the utilities, my bet is that we will see
    appreciable increases in our utility bills. Yes, the poor will suffer more
    than the rest of us and we may well have to advocate financial support for
    the poor and, that way, "bear one another's burden." The increased costs of
    electricity may very well force us to decrease our energy consumption and
    that may not be a bad thing. It's inevitable, anyway, if we plan to leave
    some of the resources, that God has given us, for the next generation(s).
    In the short run, we may see an exodus from places like California. In fact,
    according to the news, the price of natural gas in Alberta is going up by
    50% today and some companies are now seriously considering moving to areas
    of Canada where energy prices are lower.
     
    I think that, to an appreciable extent, we are now reaping what has been
    sown by antinuclear activists. For the last 20 or so years, utilities have
    been scared away from building nuclear reactors and have chosen the "easy
    way out" by building natural gas-fired turbines. Who can blame them if they
    can build a NG-fired generating station in far less time than it takes them
    to get approval to build a nuclear power plant? We can now build nuclear
    power plants in about 5 years from scratch, so even if society sees the
    light (while it is still on) and ceases its opposition to all things
    nuclear, it will be at least 2006 by the time we could see a decrease in the
    demand of natural gas.

    Chuck Vandergraaf



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