Re: Comet Orbits

From: Bill Payne (bpayne15@juno.com)
Date: Mon Jan 15 2001 - 10:16:31 EST

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    On Mon, 15 Jan 2001 09:21:47 -0500 "bivalve"
    <bivalve@mail.davidson.alumlink.com> writes:
    > Although a YEC could suggest that a comet was created in a long
    > orbit, that would run into problems if there is evidence for its
    > having been around before. For example, associated meteor showers
    > show that the comet has been around several times already.

    Meteor showers do occur somewhat regularly, and are probably the remains
    of comets. However, if we have seen multiple meteor showers in
    historical times from a single cloud of meteors, then that would likely
    have been a short-period comet, and short-period comets don't last too
    long. As I understand it, comets tend to disintegrate after about a
    dozen trips past the sun. Van Flandern, in his book _Dark Matter,
    Missing Planets & New Comets_, indicates that it can be determined from
    the composition of a comet's tail whether the comet has been past the sun
    before. The lighter elements tend to boil off during the first pass.
     
    > With regard to the exploding planet hypothesis, how is a 3.2 million
    > year period for comets expected?

    You can find the answers at:

            http://www.metaresearch.org/solar%20system/eph/eph2000.asp

    Quoting from the site

    "Comets are so strikingly similar to asteroids that no defining
    characteristic to distinguish one from the other has yet been devised.
    This is rather opposite to expectations of the solar nebula hypothesis,
    because comets should have been formed in the outer solar system far from
    the main asteroid belt. A traceback of orbits of “new” comets (that have
    not mixed with the planets before) indicates statistically that these
    probably originated at a common time and place, 3.2 Mya. [[i]] But it
    should be noted that galactic tidal forces would eliminate comets from
    any bodies that exploded prior to 10 Mya, so only very recent explosions
    can produce comets that would remain visible today."

    "The Opik test is cleanly passed by the exploded planet hypothesis, but
    not by the Oort cloud model. Anyone working with the published new comet
    data could arrive at the same conclusion. If skeptical readers suspect
    that the author may have consciously or unconsciously selected the data
    so as to give a favorable outcome, recall that Opik, who strongly doubted
    the eph when he thought of this test, came to the same conclusion even
    with the smaller amount of comet data available to him 20 years ago. In
    essence, we have proved that Lagrange’s instinct 200 years ago was right
    on target: Comets (at least most of them) acquired their extremely
    elongated, planet-crossing orbits by ejection in an explosion that we can
    now date at 3.2 million years ago. New comets are the continuing rainback
    of debris from that explosion."

    > I would think that an exploding
    > icy planet would put comets into all sorts of orbits, in addition to
    > the further disruption by gravitational encounters.

    Astonishingly, a great many comets are discovered that have energy
    parameter values close to zero, the threshold of gravitational escape, in
    units where Earth’s energy parameter is –100,000. Before mixing with the
    planets, a clustering of energy parameters near –5 exists, as shown in
    the left half of Figure 3. However, as these same comets recede again far
    from the planets, the clustering property is virtually destroyed, as
    shown on the right side of Figure 3. The scattering is so great that no
    clustering near –5 or any other value will exist the next time around. So
    these comets must have been making their first visit to the planetary
    part of the solar system. For that reason, they are called “new comets”.

    "These new comets, first noted by Oort, were not the belt of comets
    beyond Pluto expected by the primeval solar nebula hypothesis. They
    arrive from all directions on the sky, with no tendency to be
    concentrated toward the plane of the planets. Also, they move in
    directions opposite to the planets as often as in directions consistent
    with the planets. Because of these traits and a mean distance of 1000
    times greater than that of Pluto from the Sun, the far-away source of
    Oort’s new comets was designated the “Oort cloud”.

    "The exploded planet hypothesis predicted something similar. The energy
    parameter implies a particular period of revolution around the Sun. If a
    planet exploded “x” years ago, then new comets returning for the first
    time today would arrive on orbits with period “x”. Comets with shorter
    periods would have returned in the past, mixing with the planets and
    eventually being eliminated (or now in the process of being eliminated).
    Comets with longer periods would not yet have returned for the first
    time. So the eph predicts that all new comets should have the same period
    “x”, and therefore the same energy parameter corresponding to a period of
    “x”. The center of the spike on the left side of Figure 3 corresponds to
    a period of 3.2 million years, which is therefore the time since the last
    explosion event."

    Bill



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