Re: Rational Methodology for Evaluating Supernatural Claims

From: SHinrichs9@aol.com
Date: Tue Jan 02 2001 - 08:40:29 EST

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    Your previous criticism that was specifically directed towards my article
    is listed below.

    What you propose sounds very much like ad ignorantiam to this logician.
    Dave

    Your statement provides nothing specific. If there is a flaw in the logic I
    would appreciate you specifically mentioning it which you did not. The key
    logic of my article is listed below. If you really are aware of a flaw in the
    my article's reasoning, you should be able to identify a flaw in the
    arguments listed below. If you find a specific flaw, don't just broad brush
    it all and claim everything is flawed, be constructive by pointing out what
    remains valid logic and what does not. Also, if you will not concede PE is
    valid logic for determining something true about reality then explain what
    logic can determine something true about reality and then explain why it is
    more valid than PE.

    > I regret that I must contradict your statements. I presented specific
     criticisms of your suggestions that indicated that they ranged from the
     dubious to the preposterous. Had you understood my statements you would
     recognize that your position is without better foundation than wishful
     thinking.
     Dave
     
    >On Mon, 1 Jan 2001 09:03:22 EST SHinrichs9@aol.com writes:
    >
     I would like to summarize my evaluation of the responses to my previous post
    which introduced my article http://members.aol.com/SHinrichs9/spntid.htm.

    Nobody identified a flaw in the logic of the following paragraph that makes
    the cases for proof by elimination (PE) as a key logical principal for
    science. Also, nobody presented another logical concept that has the
    potential to logically prove something true about reality as PE does.

    The two assumptions PE is based upon is that there is a correct theory for
    explaining the reality being investigated and that reality follows the law of
    no contradiction. Without these two assumptions reason could not determine
    the truth about any reality, supernatural or natural. If there is a correct
    theory that describes a certain reality and all possible hypothesis for
    explaining that certain reality are false except for one hypothesis, then PE
    implies that this one non-false hypothesis is true. If the remaining
    hypothesis was also false then there would be no correct theory which would
    contradict the premise that there is a correct theory. Thus, if the premise
    that there is a correct theory is true then the one non-false hypothesis must
    be true otherwise the premise would be contradicted. Thus, PE is derived from
    the requirement for no contradiction which is a fundamental logical
    principal. Since PE is derived from a logical concept PE is also a logical
    concept. Science attempts to use PE and other logical concepts to determine
    the truth about reality; thus, the scientific procedure has the potential to
    logically determine something true about reality.

    Nobody identified a flaw in the straight forward extension of the PE logic
    for making the case for a supernatural claim as explained below.

    The approach for identifying the supernatural proposed in
    http://members.aol.com/SHinrichs9/spntid.htm.makes use of this logical PE
    principle, by just extending it to the case where there is no plausible
    natural hypothesis. If all possible natural hypothesis for explaining a
    certain real event are false, then there is a logical argument that the
    supernatural was involved with causing the event to occur.

    Thus, I believe the basic idea as proposed in
    http://members.aol.com/SHinrichs9/spntid.htm that there is a valid scientific
    method for substantiating a claim that the supernatural intervened in the
    observable world was not refuted by the group discussion.

    Quite a few legitimate points were made that it is often impossible to get to
    the point of showing all possible hypothesis false except one. I appreciate
    and acknowledge this important point. I agree that for especially continuous
    phenomenon in most cases it is not possible to determine all the possible
    hypothesis nonetheless rule all of them out except for one. However,
    especially for discrete phenomenon it is more possible to identify all
    possible hypothesis and rule out all except for one. For example, the number
    of large moons orbiting earth involves a discrete phenomenon. There are
    either 0,1, 2, 3, … I think it is possible to rule out the theory that there
    are 2 or more. It is evident there is at least one, thus, PE determines there
    actually is only one.

    Since I think there is a valid logical concept, I hope to see further
    development in developing the valid method for the substantiation of claims
    for the supernatural. For example, discussing appropriate criterion for
    falsifying natural hypothesis, procedures for determining all possible
    hypothesis and identify types of issues where the number hypothesis are few
    enough to possibly address all of them. This would be more constructive than
    dead ended criticism.



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