Re: Gasket analogy

From: John Burgeson (burgy@compuserve.com)
Date: Thu Apr 06 2000 - 22:42:23 EDT

  • Next message: glenn morton: "Re: Gasket analogy"

    Glenn replied (I clip parts of his reply for brevity):

    "Why? It is the rules that hold chance in control. Chance operates in part
    of
    the algorithm but the rules of motion don't change. Download the program
    and run it over and over--see if you can ever get even a slight variation
    to the gasket."

    I have no doubt that is true. But that is hardly my point. Let me try this.
    Let me design a new random number generator which REALLY generates random
    numbers, and feed those numers as input to your program. Let me run that
    program for an infinite length of time. I guarantee that there will be an
    infinite number of times the gasket won't appear -- unless you call an
    absolutely straight line a gasket.

    You write: "The game of bridge is not in anyway analogous to the system I
    am describing."

    In no way? Come on. It is analgous to the extent both depend on random
    data, inthe case of bridge, random shuffles.

    You write: "While the choice of which rule of motion to follow is random,
    the outcome
    isn't. A refresher for the program movement: ... "

    I clipped the refresher. I understand that -- you've posted it several
    times.

    You also observe that "Take the lowest significant digit on the clock
    register can get you pretty
    close to being random."

    My recollection from days of the IBM 704 in the late 1950s is that that
    method was tried but found wanting. Or at least inferior to other methods.
    I used it in 1960 as a method to get a starting point for a mathematical
    generator when I programmed what I believe to be the first baseball
    simulator on the IBM 1620.

    In your reply to Dave, you wrote:

    "It can be due to personal choice. Lets replace the dot with an intelligent
    agent. The dot has a choice, do the moral thing and move halfway to dot 1,
    do the sinful thing and move halfway to dot 2 or do a neutral thing an
    move
    halfway to dot 3. As with all of us in life, we do some moral things, some
    bad things and some that really don't make a difference (like belching in
    public). This intelligent agent will now produce a Sierpinski's gasket as
    surely as the sun will rise tomorrow. So these systems actually illustrate
    that God could self-limit his knowledge of which choice we will make, but
    our life will still provide the pattern required to fit into his global
    scheme."

    I understand your analogy. Gosh -- I keep saying that -- you keep going
    over the obvious. It must be because of my imprecise writing.

    You say "So these systems actually illustrate
    that God could self-limit his knowledge of which choice we will make, but
    our life will still provide the pattern required to fit into his global
    scheme."

    And I say, not so. Look. I'm the dot. Constrained, as you say. I choose
    "sin"
    as my choice in every case. The gasket does not appear. Was my choice of
    "sin" necessary to provide God's pattern for his global scheme? If so, I am
    not responsible, and should not be
    judged. But this is an inconsistency!

    Finally, you send a third post in which you say:

    "If this is what you mean by the gasket not appearing, then I would say
    that
    the odds are so small as to be non-existent."

    Small odds are not zero odds, my friend.

    "If your random number
    generator always gave out a 1 rather than a mixture of 1, 2, and 3, then I
    would suggest that you don't have a random number generator. Say you are on
    a statistical fluke of 1's. Would you believe in a statistical fluke of
    20,000 ones being generated to the exclusion of 2 and 3? It takes about
    20,000 iterations of the program before the pattern is discernable. I would
    say that if you generated 20,000 1's, then you don't have a random number
    generator--you programmed it wrong."

    I'd agree. But not if I were examining an infinite string of numbers, in
    which 20,000 1s
    will appear together an infinite number of times.

    "But that being said, even if you did generate 1's all the time with your
    random number generator, then the particle is still constrained to move
    only
    to certain places in the X-Y plane. To some areas it simply can't go"

    I agree, of course. If I deliberately choose "sin" upon every choice, I
    still cannot walk to the moon unaided, or hit a baseball as far as Mark
    McGwire, or change myself into a purple elephant.

    I think we may have taken this as far as we can. You are wedded to your
    gasket case as a good anology; I just don't see it as such particularly.
    That's OK, maybe others do. You hold to practicalities -- the chance of a
    non-gasket is so improbable that you declare it to be zero -- I tend to
    think about very rare cases and I would "never say never." It is even
    possible that I will win the lottery this year! I never buy a ticket -- but
    perhaps someone will buy one for me!
    < G >. I figure the odds of the someone buying one for me are probably
    better than the odds of that ticket winning!

    Burgy

     



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 06 2000 - 22:43:19 EDT