This is for Brent and his friends. Dicovery Magazine, Oct. 2000 is talking
about what will change in the next 20 years. They say:
"Consider the 'Contemporary Waves of Technological Change" graph. It
indicates that computer capabilities and genetic medicine are likely to
follow exponential growth curves that echo the major technological
inflections preceding them, creating an array of high-performance products
20 years from now. But early in this same period, as shown in the
"Projected World wide Oil Production' graph, half the worl'ds known oil
supply will have been used, and oil production will slide into permanent
decline. This will not be an ersatz crisis like the oil embargo of the 1970s
but a permanent change in the energy landscape, in which plenty of oil will
still be available but not at today's prices. Shortly after the downturn in
oil production and associated price increases, industrialized nations might
face threatened economiies, not to mention the growing geopolitical power of
countries holding the world's reserves."
"Energy-efficient innovations will arise from this crisis and alter all our
lives significantly. Indeed, this is an example of a technology that must be
invented to maintain the standard of living we now enjoy." Eric Haseltine,
"Twenty things that will be Obsolete in Twenty YEars,"p 85-86
glenn
see http://www.flash.net/~mortongr/dmd.htm
for lots of creation/evolution information
> -----Original Message-----
> From: asa-owner@lists.calvin.edu [mailto:asa-owner@lists.calvin.edu]On
> Behalf Of glenn morton
> Sent: Saturday, September 30, 2000 9:28 PM
> To: asa@calvin.edu
> Subject: Re: CNN on Oil
>
>
> Brent made the comment that his friends think he is a chiken
> little. I am in
> the oil industry, and I will tell you that I have had some
> discussions with
> people in the industry who don't believe this. However, what is really
> interesting is that most of those people were very new in the industry in
> the early 80's. They don't remember how little effect we had in
> the US at
> reversing the Hubbert decline even though we had at one time 4500 drilling
> rigs drilling.
>
> If you want to convince them tell them to take a look at:
>
> http://www.cnie.org/nle/eng-3.html
> http://payson.tulane.edu/mad/Seminars/porter.htm
> http://www.oilcrisis.com
> http://www.hubbertpeak.com/youngquist/geotimes.htm
> http://www.hookele.com/mt/forum/messages/294.htm
> http://www.hubbertpeak.com
> http://hubbert.mines.edu
>
>
> All of these sites are run by scientists, not enviro fruitcakes.
>
> glenn
>
> see http://www.flash.net/~mortongr/dmd.htm
> for lots of creation/evolution information
>
>
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