Randy Isaac wrote:
> I'm actually a fan of Smolin and don't like string theory either. I do
> think, however, that you may be applying Smolin's comments in slightly
> the wrong way. String theory is not consensus in the sense of being
> tested experimentally and found to be consistent. He's talking about the
> relative distribution of funds in fields where there is no consensus of
> proven models. He's talking about the tendency to fund research in new
> areas according to the fad of string theory. The issue of what work to
> fund long before there's consensus is actually the more interesting part
> of scientific research and I've spent much of my career doing that.
>
Other than the correlation between the climate models and actual global
climate has the quantitative impact of human generated GHGs been
experimentally demonstrated? In other words are there any physical
models, no matter that on a different scale, that help validate the
physics... in the computational models? The fact that GHGs impact
climate is not the issue but the size of that impact is somewhat
questionable.
Is anyone aware whether the models of 5 or 10 years ago have been run
unchanged except for actual concentrations of GHGs in the atmosphere? If
so how do the results compare with the more refined current models? Some
looking via google found nothing.
At this point, it seems to me, that the results are convincing enough
that we must take action, however, what actions to take is the issue.
I think that it would be very helpful if a book as credible as Kenneth
Miller's Finding Darwin's God about evolution were written but about
climate change. It does not need to be written by the top people so long
as they review and endorse it. In order to take political action the
people must be somewhat supportive and such a book would at least help
convince citizens with a scientific and technical background.
Dave
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Received on Fri Jan 26 09:02:42 2007
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.8 : Fri Jan 26 2007 - 09:02:43 EST