Re: [asa] Creation Care

On 1/25/07, Bill Hamilton <williamehamiltonjr@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
> As one who has a Ph.D. in control theory -- and worked in machine tool and
> robot control for ten years -- I think you seem pretty sanguine about
> climate
> dynamics.

I'm not necessarily sanguine about it. We are good at predicting the past
but we are now extrapolating CO2 levels that haven't been seen in hundreds
of millenia and we both know how accurate extrapolation is. :-) I just see a
greater risk that the models will produce false negatives over false
positives.

My point is not that we shouldn't try to model the climate, just that
> we should be cautious in making long term predictions from the results,
> and we
> should be cautious about prescribing expensive remediation programs.

Agreed, but we HAVE to make long term predictions because the policy makers
need them. That being said, we should accurately describe the uncertainty
which because of the positive feedbacks which may be unprecidented become
increasingly greater the farther out in time we go.

>
>
>
> Bill Hamilton
> William E. Hamilton, Jr., Ph.D.
> 248.652.4148 (home) 248.821.8156 (mobile)
> "...If God is for us, who is against us?" Rom 8:31
>
>
>
>
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Received on Thu Jan 25 17:07:46 2007