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From: hpyockey@aol.com (HPYockey)
Newsgroups: talk.origins
Subject: Probability and complexity of Life
Date: 4 Aug 1995 15:28:06 -0400
Organization: America Online, Inc. (1-800-827-6364)
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Subject: Probability of Complex life?
Elements of probability theory
According to the modern theory of probability one cannot speak of a
probability without first establishing a probability space, a set of
events and a probability distribution suitable to the problem. One must
also satisfy the axioms of probability theory to avoid a "Dutch Book"
(Press, Bayesian Statistics 1989 John Wiley) and to be sure one is not
using knowledge one does not have. It is not true that the probability of
any event, no matter how improbable, becomes unity once it has occurred.
At that point the original probability space is no longer applicable and
the event is not a stochastic event.
An Introduction to Probability Theory P. A. P. Moran Oxford University
Press paper back 1984
An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications volume II
Feller John Wiley 1966.
Best of luck with these books
Hubert P. Yockey
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Brian Harper |
Associate Professor | "It is not certain that all is uncertain,
Applied Mechanics | to the glory of skepticism" -- Pascal
Ohio State University |
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